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By Scott Peterson Staff writer For the past 18 months, as resurgent Russia- and Iran-backed regime forces swept across Syria, defeated and disarmed rebels in stronghold after stronghold were allowed to flee to northwestern Idlib province.
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The Russian and Syrian air forces have already begun to bomb. But it may be too late for diplomacy, which has routinely failed to prevent atrocities throughout the war.
Even as Turkey, long a bitter foe of President Bashar al-Assad, urged a cease-fire in the northwestern Syrian province and warned of a massacre, Russia and Iran, Mr.
Fresh Russian and Syrian airstrikes on Idlib were reported Friday morning. The widely anticipated offensive has drawn international concern. The humanitarian impact has been staggering.
Millions have fled to neighboring countries and hundreds of thousands to Europe and beyond, feeding an epic refugee crisis that has strained humanitarian agencies to the breaking point.
How Idlib became a target Over the past 18 months, backed by the manpower and firepower of Russia and Iran, the regime has had a string of battlefield successes, seizing the northern city of Aleppo, Deir ez Zour in the east, the Eastern Ghouta region east of Damascus, and most recently, Deraa and Quneitra provinces in the south.
In each battle, the regime offered rebels the option of surrendering their heavy weapons and relocating to Idlib province, where Turkish troops man observation posts as part of a now-collapsed de-escalation zone deal.
The influx of defeated fighters and their families to the Idlib dumping ground saw the local population nearly double from 1. The dilemma facing the rebels and Sunni jihadist militants is that there are few places left to flee to should the Assad regime attack.
Maybe 2 million [civilians]?
Where will these terrorists go? Foreign terrorist fighters can also go to other countries, to Europe or even beyond. Turkish media estimate that 60, Sunni jihadists are in Idlib, some 15, of them non-Arab foreign fighters. They only real disincentive is a military conflict with Turkey, but even that may not be enough.
The US has some 2, special forces troops deployed mainly in eastern Syria alongside the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces, and is primarily focused on ensuring the defeat of the ruthless Islamic State group and the full withdrawal of all Iranian and Iranian-led forces from Syria.
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